Record
Every graded pick this season, 1 unit = $100, real odds for the side picked (not flat -110).
Record
57-43-6
57.0% win rate
Units
+8.93u
106 picks graded
P/L
$+893
at $100/unit
For context — the long-run record. Graded across 2017–2026 (2,376 picks), the model is 1230–1146, 51.8% against the spread for -0.38 units. The 95% confidence interval (49.8%–53.8%) sits below the 52.4% break-even point, so no edge over the market has been demonstrated. A strong stretch over ~100 picks is well within normal variance — read the season figures above with that in mind.
By week
| Week | Record | Win% | Units | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 7-8-1 | 46.7% | -1.52u | $-152 |
| Week 2 | 7-9-0 | 43.8% | -2.74u | $-274 |
| Week 3 | 8-6-2 | 57.1% | +1.14u | $+114 |
| Week 4 | 9-5-2 | 64.3% | +3.19u | $+319 |
| Week 5 | 12-2-1 | 85.7% | +8.86u | $+886 |
| Week 6 | 8-6-0 | 57.1% | +1.26u | $+126 |
| Week 7 | 6-7-0 | 46.2% | -1.26u | $-126 |
Every pick
| Week | Game | Pick | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | Bears @ Panthers | Bears -3.0 (-112) | WIN | +0.89u |
| Wk 1 | Buccaneers @ Bengals | Buccaneers +3.5 (-102) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 1 | Saints @ Lions | Lions -7.0 (-110) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 1 | Bills @ Texans | Bills -1.5 (-105) | WIN | +0.95u |
| Wk 1 | Ravens @ Colts | Colts +3.0 (-112) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 1 | Browns @ Jaguars | Browns +8.5 (-105) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 1 | Broncos @ Chiefs | Broncos +2.5 (-112) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 1 | 49ers @ Rams | 49ers +3.5 (-105) | WIN | +0.95u |
| Wk 1 | Cardinals @ Chargers | Cardinals +8.5 (-102) | WIN | +0.98u |
| Wk 1 | Dolphins @ Raiders | Dolphins +3.0 (-110) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 1 | Packers @ Vikings | Packers +1.5 (-105) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 1 | Cowboys @ Giants | Giants +3.0 (-108) | WIN | +0.93u |
| Wk 1 | Commanders @ Eagles | Commanders +6.0 (-110) | WIN | +0.91u |
| Wk 1 | Falcons @ Steelers | Falcons +6.5 (-108) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 1 | Patriots @ Seahawks | Seahawks -3.0 (-118) | PUSH | +0.00u |
| Wk 1 | Jets @ Titans | Jets +1.5 (-115) | WIN | +0.87u |
| Wk 2 | Seahawks @ Cardinals | Seahawks -3.5 (-120) | WIN | +0.83u |
| Wk 2 | Panthers @ Falcons | Falcons +2.5 (+100) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 2 | Saints @ Ravens | Saints +8.5 (-115) | WIN | +0.87u |
| Wk 2 | Lions @ Bills | Lions +5.5 (-115) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 2 | Vikings @ Bears | Vikings +4.5 (-108) | WIN | +0.93u |
| Wk 2 | Commanders @ Cowboys | Commanders +3.5 (+100) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 2 | Jaguars @ Broncos | Jaguars +2.5 (-105) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 2 | Bengals @ Texans | Bengals +3.0 (-118) | WIN | +0.85u |
| Wk 2 | Colts @ Chiefs | Colts +6.0 (-112) | WIN | +0.89u |
| Wk 2 | Giants @ Rams | Giants +6.5 (-105) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 2 | Raiders @ Chargers | Raiders +6.5 (+102) | WIN | +1.02u |
| Wk 2 | Steelers @ Patriots | Steelers +4.5 (-102) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 2 | Packers @ Jets | Packers -3.5 (-108) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 2 | Dolphins @ 49ers | Dolphins +12.5 (-105) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 2 | Browns @ Buccaneers | Browns +8.5 (-115) | WIN | +0.87u |
| Wk 2 | Eagles @ Titans | Eagles -7.0 (-115) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 3 | Chargers @ Bills | Bills -7.0 (-112) | WIN | +0.89u |
| Wk 3 | Eagles @ Bears | Bears +3.5 (-108) | WIN | +0.93u |
| Wk 3 | Panthers @ Browns | Browns +2.5 (-112) | WIN | +0.89u |
| Wk 3 | Ravens @ Cowboys | Ravens -3.0 (-120) | PUSH | +0.00u |
| Wk 3 | Rams @ Broncos | Rams +1.5 (-122) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 3 | Jets @ Lions | Lions -7.0 (-110) | PUSH | +0.00u |
| Wk 3 | Falcons @ Packers | Packers -4.5 (-112) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 3 | Texans @ Colts | Texans -1.5 (-112) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 3 | Patriots @ Jaguars | Patriots +3.0 (-115) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 3 | Chiefs @ Dolphins | Dolphins +10.0 (-112) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 3 | Raiders @ Saints | Raiders +3.5 (-112) | WIN | +0.89u |
| Wk 3 | Titans @ Giants | Giants -2.5 (-110) | WIN | +0.91u |
| Wk 3 | Bengals @ Steelers | Steelers +3.5 (-118) | WIN | +0.85u |
| Wk 3 | Cardinals @ 49ers | Cardinals +7.5 (-110) | WIN | +0.91u |
| Wk 3 | Vikings @ Buccaneers | Buccaneers +1.5 (-118) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 3 | Seahawks @ Commanders | Commanders +8.5 (-115) | WIN | +0.87u |
| Wk 4 | Titans @ Ravens | Titans +11.5 (-110) | WIN | +0.91u |
| Wk 4 | Patriots @ Bills | Patriots +7.0 (-110) | WIN | +0.91u |
| Wk 4 | Lions @ Panthers | Lions -4.5 (-105) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 4 | Jets @ Bears | Bears -3.5 (-110) | WIN | +0.91u |
| Wk 4 | Jaguars @ Bengals | Jaguars +2.5 (-102) | WIN | +0.98u |
| Wk 4 | Steelers @ Browns | Browns +2.5 (+100) | WIN | +1.00u |
| Wk 4 | Cowboys @ Texans | Cowboys +3.0 (-115) | WIN | +0.87u |
| Wk 4 | Chiefs @ Raiders | Chiefs -4.5 (-120) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 4 | Dolphins @ Vikings | Dolphins +10.0 (-115) | WIN | +0.87u |
| Wk 4 | Falcons @ Saints | Falcons +1.5 (-120) | WIN | +0.83u |
| Wk 4 | Cardinals @ Giants | Giants +2.5 (-110) | WIN | +0.91u |
| Wk 4 | Rams @ Eagles | Eagles +3.5 (+100) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 4 | Chargers @ Seahawks | Chargers +7.0 (-112) | PUSH | +0.00u |
| Wk 4 | Broncos @ 49ers | Broncos +3.0 (-115) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 4 | Packers @ Buccaneers | Buccaneers +3.0 (-115) | PUSH | +0.00u |
| Wk 4 | Colts @ Commanders | Commanders +4.5 (-102) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 5 | Lions @ Cardinals | Lions -5.5 (-108) | WIN | +0.93u |
| Wk 5 | Ravens @ Falcons | Ravens +3.5 (-125) | WIN | +0.80u |
| Wk 5 | Buccaneers @ Cowboys | Buccaneers +9.5 (-112) | WIN | +0.89u |
| Wk 5 | Bears @ Packers | Packers +1.5 (-105) | WIN | +0.95u |
| Wk 5 | Eagles @ Jaguars | Eagles +7.5 (+100) | WIN | +1.00u |
| Wk 5 | Bills @ Rams | Bills +3.5 (-115) | WIN | +0.87u |
| Wk 5 | Broncos @ Chargers | Broncos -3.5 (-108) | WIN | +0.93u |
| Wk 5 | Bengals @ Dolphins | Dolphins +7.0 (-105) | PUSH | +0.00u |
| Wk 5 | Raiders @ Patriots | Patriots -3.5 (-105) | WIN | +0.95u |
| Wk 5 | Vikings @ Saints | Vikings -2.5 (-112) | WIN | +0.89u |
| Wk 5 | Browns @ Jets | Browns +2.5 (-105) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 5 | Colts @ Steelers | Colts +3.0 (-110) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 5 | 49ers @ Seahawks | 49ers +3.0 (-110) | WIN | +0.91u |
| Wk 5 | Texans @ Titans | Texans -6.5 (-115) | WIN | +0.87u |
| Wk 5 | Giants @ Commanders | Giants +3.5 (-115) | WIN | +0.87u |
| Wk 6 | Bears @ Falcons | Bears -1.5 (-108) | WIN | +0.93u |
| Wk 6 | Ravens @ Browns | Ravens -3.0 (-118) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 6 | Seahawks @ Broncos | Broncos +2.5 (+100) | WIN | +1.00u |
| Wk 6 | Cowboys @ Packers | Packers +1.5 (-118) | WIN | +0.85u |
| Wk 6 | Titans @ Colts | Titans +6.5 (-115) | WIN | +0.87u |
| Wk 6 | Texans @ Jaguars | Texans +2.5 (-102) | WIN | +0.98u |
| Wk 6 | Chargers @ Chiefs | Chargers +7.5 (-112) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 6 | Cardinals @ Rams | Cardinals +12.5 (-105) | WIN | +0.95u |
| Wk 6 | Bills @ Raiders | Bills -5.5 (-108) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 6 | Jets @ Patriots | Jets +7.5 (-120) | WIN | +0.83u |
| Wk 6 | Saints @ Giants | Giants +1.5 (-125) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 6 | Panthers @ Eagles | Eagles +3.0 (-105) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 6 | Commanders @ 49ers | Commanders +7.5 (-118) | WIN | +0.85u |
| Wk 6 | Steelers @ Buccaneers | Buccaneers +2.5 (-112) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 7 | Broncos @ Cardinals | Cardinals +4.5 (-108) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 7 | 49ers @ Falcons | 49ers -2.5 (-118) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 7 | Bengals @ Ravens | Ravens +3.0 (-112) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 7 | Buccaneers @ Panthers | Buccaneers +3.0 (-110) | WIN | +0.91u |
| Wk 7 | Patriots @ Bears | Patriots +3.0 (-112) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 7 | Packers @ Lions | Lions -3.5 (-112) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 7 | Giants @ Texans | Giants +10.0 (-108) | WIN | +0.93u |
| Wk 7 | Rams @ Raiders | Rams -3.5 (+100) | WIN | +1.00u |
| Wk 7 | Colts @ Vikings | Colts +6.5 (+100) | WIN | +1.00u |
| Wk 7 | Steelers @ Saints | Saints +3.0 (-105) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 7 | Dolphins @ Jets | Dolphins +3.5 (+100) | WIN | +1.00u |
| Wk 7 | Chiefs @ Seahawks | Chiefs +3.0 (-115) | LOSS | -1.00u |
| Wk 7 | Browns @ Titans | Browns -1.5 (-110) | WIN | +0.91u |